Suppose I were Wrong on Chronological Matches Related to Egypt?

What would a revised chronology look like?

Current matches, involving Djoser for Joseph's Pharao and so carbon dated 2800 BC (raw date, calibrated 2600 BC) = 1700 BC, Thirteenth dynasty Pharao of the Exodus, 1550 BC as carbon date for Jericho destroyed in 1470 BC.

One problem with the last is, as Douglas Petrovich mentions on Academia:

In sealed tombs at Jericho, Garstang discovered royal scarabs with cartouches of the following kings: Hatshepsut, Thutmose III, and Amenhotep III.

I check and find this article:

Jericho: The Latest Research – Part Three
Bible Archaeology Report | November 24, 2025 | Bryan Windle
https://biblearchaeologyreport.com/2025/11/24/jericho-the-latest-research-part-three/

Now, Douglas Petrovich has some other dating for Amenhotep III than dying in 1350, namely probably in 1372 and acceeding the throne in 1410 BC, this follows Pharaonic King-Lists, Annals, and Day-Books: A Contribution to the Study of the Egyptian Sense of History (Donald B. Redford)

This is compatible with an Exodus under Amenhotep II in 1446 BC.

1446 + 430 = 1876 BC for the vocation of Abraham, when he was 75. Genesis 14 was in between this date and when he was 86 at the birth of Ishmael. So, c. 1870 BC. It's still carbon dated to 3500 BC.

3500 - 1870 = 1630 extra years. 0.5^(1630/5730) = 0.8210444795..., so 82.104 pmC.

Or what about the LXX reading? Here is one with quite a few text emendations on Ellopos:

1 And it came to pass in the four hundred and fortieth year after the departure of the children of Israel out of Egypt, in the fourth year and second month of the reign of king Solomon over Israel, 1α that the king commanded that they should take great [and] costly stones for the foundation of the house, and hewn stones. 1β And the men of Solomon, and the men of Chiram hewed [the stones], and laid them [for a foundation]. 1γ In the fourth year he laid the foundation of the house of the Lord, in the month Ziu, [Niso (Rahlfs)]* even in the second month. 1δ In the eleventh year, in the month Baal, this [is] the eighth month, the house was completed according to all its plan, and according to all its arrangement.

This might put the temple in the 440th year after the Exodus, so the Exodus in 1406 BC. This fits better with conventional dates for the death of Amenhotep II.

1406 + 430 = 1836, so Genesis 14 in c. 1830 BC.

3500 - 1830 = 1670 extra years. 0.5^(1670/5730) = 0.817081..., so, 81.708 pmC.

1830 - 1406 = 424 years. Let's divide these into quarters of 106 years. But first, the checkup for the speed coefficient.

0.5^(424/5730) = 0.95000268... (decay to 95 %), meaning a replacement normally of 1 - 0.95000268... = 0.0499973... (4.99973 pmC units).
0.817081... * 0.95000268... = 0.776229...
1 - 0.776229... = 0.2237706...
0.2237706... / 0.0499973... = 4.47565... times faster.

And let's apply that speed coefficient to the quarters, first equally, for this post:

0.5^(106/5730) = 0.987259...
1 - 0.987259... = 0.01274...
0.01274... * 4.47565... = 0.0570232...

Gives a table of:

1830 BC

81.708 pmC, so dated 3500 BC.

1724 BC

86.369 pmC, so dated 2935 BC.

1618 BC

90.971 pmC, so dated 2400 BC

1512 BC

95.515 pmC, so dated 1891 BC

1406 BC

100 pmC, so dated 1406 BC.

Let's divide the last in the middle. 53 years before the Exodus, Moses was still at the Pharaonic court.

0.5^(53/5730) = 0.993609...
1 - 0.993609... = 0.0063908...
0.0063908... * 4.47565... = 0.0286...
0.955146... * 0.993609... + 0.0286... = 0.9776...
5730 * log(0.9776...) / log(0.5) + 1459 = 1646 BC

Gives a table closeup of:

1512 BC

95.515 pmC, so dated 1891 BC

1459 BC

97.764 pmC, so dated 1646 BC

1406 BC

100 pmC, so dated 1406 BC.

The immediate problem, which could be fixed by making earlier parts of the carbon build up faster and later parts slower is, Moses was arguably not living in the court of three different pharaos:

Salitis, Fifteenth Dynasty pharaoh of Egypt, r.  c. 1648–1628 BC
Djehuti, Sixteenth Dynasty pharaoh of Egypt, r.  c. 1650–1647 BC
Sobekhotep VIII, Sixteenth Dynasty pharaoh of Egypt, r.  c. 1647–1631 BC

1640s BC
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1640s_BC

Or, another way to fix it is, if none or not all of these pharaos have their dates from carbon dating.

To put this in perspective. You may have a library that's carbon dated (for instance from wood shelves, or in the case of cuneiform tablets, from wool coverings). It contains a text that for some reason you date to the same year as the destruction (let's not get into why). It mentions a ruler 120 years earlier.

Now, the library gets a date "2000 BC" because of carbon dates. But the ruler gets "2120 BC" not because of a carbon date, but because of being 120 years prior to sth dated to "2000 BC". In the latter case, ideally I don't look up my tables for 2120 BC, but only my tables for 2000 BC, and then add 120 years. Let's see how this works out in relation to my so far tables.* This one goes from the death of Joseph's Pharao Djoser to the death of Sesostris III who died when Moses was a toddler, which were so far my matches in Egyptology:

1634 BC

93.251 pmC, dated as 2212 BC

1612 BC

95.145 pmC, dated as 2023 BC

1590 BC

97.033 pmC, dated as 1839 BC

(1612 + 1612 + 1612 + 1612 + 1612 + 1612 + 1590) / 7 = 1608.857...
(95.145 + 95.145 + 95.145 + 95.145 + 95.145 + 95.145 + 97.033) / 7 = 95.415

5730 * log(0.95415) / log(0.5) + 1608.857... = 1996.8717....

Close enough. So, real date for the library from "2000 BC" would be 1609 BC. Now, in that case, the real date for the "2120 BC" ruler would be 1729 BC. It would be a mistake to instead try to take averages between 1634 and 1612 and their atmospheric pmC values. That would put the older ruler too recently.

In this case, I'm not sure if I would want the limit between 15th and 16th dynasty to before Moses was born or after he left Egypt for Madian after slaying the Egyptian overseer.

So, taking the scarabs of Jericho into account is somewhat of a headache, I'd need time, but ideally also collaborators I don't have now to do a good job. Thank you, Dr. Petrovich.

Hans Georg Lundahl
Nanterre UL
St. Frances of Rome
9.III.2026

Romae sanctae Franciscae Viduae, nobilitate generis, vitae sanctitate et miraculorum dono celebris.

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* Creation vs. Evolution: Newer Tables, Joseph in Egypt to Fall of Troy (table V—VI)
mardi 24 décembre 2024 | Publié par Hans Georg Lundahl à 11:00
https://creavsevolu.blogspot.com/2024/12/newer-tables-joseph-in-egypt-to-fall-of.html